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AT&T posts strong wireless growth, affirms '08 view
Fri, Jan 25, 2008
Reuters

NEW YORK - AT&T posted stronger-than-expected mobile growth and affirmed its 2008 outlook, but its shares fell as much as 3.4 per cent amid persistent worries about the United States economy.

The largest US phone company warned earlier this month that it saw some softness in its consumer business, but it said on Thursday that it added 2.7 million net new wireless subscribers in the fourth quarter, ahead of expectations.

Five analysts had on average estimated AT&T's new subscribers at 1.92 million for the fourth quarter.

'It was a solid quarter certainly,' said Stifel Nicolaus analyst Chris King said. 'In this type of market, any reiteration of guidance has to be viewed positively.'

AT&T forecast 2008 revenue growth in the mid-single-digit percentage range, double-digit adjusted earnings-per-share growth and mobile service revenue growth in the mid teens.

If the economy gets worse, Mr King said there was a risk AT&T would come in at the low end of its outlook.

'It does not appear to us as if the mid-to-high end of company guidance for 2008 assumes much weakness, if any, in enterprise or wireless that could be seen if the economy continues to weaken,' he said.

AT&T shares closed down about 2 per cent at US$35.75 on the New York Stock Exchange, erasing Wednesday's gain of about the same amount. The stock has fallen almost 13 per cent since the end of 2007 due to economic concerns.

The exclusive US carrier for Apple's iPhone, AT&T results came after No. 3 US mobile service Sprint Nextel warned last week it had incurred steep losses of high-value customers last quarter. Verizon Communications is scheduled to report results on Jan 28.

AT&T said it was not seeing any weakness in wireless or business services and that it had baked in economy-related weakness in broadband and access lines in its 2008 forecast.

But Chief Financial Officer Rick Lindner did say telephone line and broadband numbers were hurt by the US housing slump and disconnections of customers who did not pay their bills.

'We're clearly not seeing any impact in our wireless business ... it's just a limited impact in our access line and broadband results,' Mr Lindner said on a call with analysts.

Mr King said he was expecting 500,000 new Digital Subscriber Line broadband customers at AT&T, compared with the 400,000 it reported. He had expected an access line loss of 6.8 per cent versus AT&T's actual loss of 6.8 per cent.

Wireless growth
AT&T said its fourth-quarter profit was US$3.1 billion (S$4.4 billion), or 51 cents per share, compared with US$1.9 billion, or 50 cents a share, a year earlier. Most of the year-ago quarter excludes earnings from BellSouth, which AT&T bought at the end of 2006.

Before merger-related costs and other special items, AT&T's profit rose to 71 cents a share from 61 cents a year ago, matching Wall Street expectations.

AT&T said quarterly revenue grew 2.9 per cent to US$30.3 billion assuming it owned BellSouth for both full quarters.

Analysts were expecting revenue of US$30.5 billion, according to Reuters Estimates.

Mr Lindner said AT&T ended 2007 with about 2 million subscribers using iPhone. Apple, which also sells the phone overseas through other service providers overseas, had said it had sold about 4 million by Jan 15.

Since analysts estimate that overseas carriers had sold only about 350,000 iPhones, this may mean the remaining phones are either being held as inventory by operators such as AT&T or have been bought in the United States for use in Europe.

So far in the first quarter, Mr Lindner said broadband was somewhat improved since the fourth quarter and that access lines were at the same level if not better.

The company said it had approved a buyback of 400 million shares, or 6.6 per cent of its shares outstanding, and expects to complete the transactions by the end of 2009.

AT&T said it maintained double-digit growth in revenue and subscribers for its broadband Internet service and saw subscribers to its U-verse video service rise to 231,000 by the end of the quarter from 126,000 the previous quarter.

 

 
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