>> ASIAONE / NEWS / LATEST NEWS / BUSINESS / STORY
Japan slipping towards recession
Thu, Aug 14, 2008
AFP

TOKYO, JAPAN: Japan said yesterday that its economy had contracted in the second quarter as falling exports and weak consumer spending sent Asia's largest economy hurtling toward its first recession in six years.

The slump reflects the rapidly deteriorating global economic climate, with fears of a recession in the euro zone also mounting as the fallout from the US financial crisis ripples around the world.

Japan's gross domestic product (GDP) shrank by 0.6 per cent in the three months to June from the previous quarter, the Cabinet Office said, marking the first time in a year that the world's second-biggest economy has contracted.

The economy shrank by 2.4 per cent, when compared to the same period a year ago, matching market expectations.

The slump put Japan on the cusp of outright recession, which is usually defined as two or more straight quarters of economic contraction. The last time that happened in Japan was in 2001, when the recession lasted for three quarters.

Tokyo share prices slumped 2.1 per cent as the weak growth figures added to jitters about problems in the US banking sector.

GDP growth for the first quarter of 2008 was also revised down to 0.8 per cent quarter-on-quarter from 1 per cent previously.

Economic growth 'will remain very weak throughout this fiscal year,' said Mr Mamoru Yamazaki, chief economist for Japan at RBS Securities.

'The increase in oil and commodity prices is damaging corporate profits,' while rising inflation is hurting households, he said.

After suffering a series of on-off recessions in the 1990s following the bursting of the economic bubble, Japan had been slowly recovering on the back of brisk exports and business investment.

Japan's government, however, last week effectively declared an end to the country's longest period of economic expansion in postwar times.

Even so, the economy is considered to be in much better shape than it was during previous downturns, particularly the corporate sector which has benefitted from several years of bumper earnings.

'The fundamentals of the economy are much better than in the previous post-bubble cycles,' Lehman Brothers chief Japan economist Kenichi Kawasaki wrote in a note to clients.

'The downside risks remain elevated, but we expect that this cyclical downturn will be a relatively mild one.'

While Japan's contraction was partly a hangover from the robust first-quarter growth, the slowing global economy took a heavy toll on exports, which tumbled 2.3 per cent.

Household spending fell 0.5 per cent as soaring commodity and food prices, coupled with sluggish wages, prompted consumers to tighten their purse strings.

Business investment was another weak spot, dropping 0.2 per cent as cautious companies spent less on new equipment and factories.

Reflecting a slowing global economy, Japan's current account surplus plunged 67.4 per cent in June from a year earlier as exports to the United States and Europe fell, official data showed on Wednesday.

Given the gloomy economic situation, analysts do not expect the Bank of Japan to raise its super-low interest rates from the current level of 0.5 per cent any time soon, despite the highest inflation in a decade. --AFP

 

 
STORY INDEX
 
  Japan slipping towards recession
   
 
  US stocks dip at opening
   
 
  Susilo demands prompt resolution to coal tax refund problem
   
 
  Credit Suisse fined US$10.7m for pricing flaws
   
 
  Dollar hits 6-month high, Asian stocks rise
   
 
  SE Asian stocks up
   
 
  Video: UK inflation woes
   
 
  Video: Tesco to set up shop in India
   
 
  Video: UBS splits banking business
   
 
  US June trade gap shrinks despite oil price surge
   
We welcome contributions, comments and tips.
a1admin@sph.com.sg
   

Search: