>> ASIAONE / NEWS / THE STRAITS TIMES / STORY
Slower profit growth ahead, warn analysts
Alvin Foo
Fri, May 16, 2008
The Straits Times
CORPORATE Singapore enjoyed a sparkling first quarter despite the threat of a worldwide economic slowdown, spiralling inflation and a global credit crunch.

And while analysts warn that the road ahead will get rougher, results from the three months ended March 31 should help bolster confidence.

By 7pm yesterday - the 45-day reporting deadline - 312 companies had reported results for the three months ended March 31.

Their combined net earnings were up 17 per cent to $7.91 billion compared to last year, but 41 firms were in the red.

Although the year-on-year numbers were impressive, analysts point to a sequential slowdown in earnings growth relative to the previous quarter. And these figures are tipped to dip even more in the coming quarters.

'The outlook appears cautious in most companies. We will be lucky if we can see growth of just under 10 per cent. The results are likely to be neutral to slightly negative in the coming quarters,' NRA Capital managing director Kevin Scully said.

Factors such as currency volatility, a rise in raw material costs and an expected recession in the United States may dampen the bottom lines of companies in Singapore.

The numbers themselves pointed to some standout performers, particularly palm oil firms Wilmar International and Golden Agri-Resources.

They were fifth and second, respectively, on the profit chart.

Higher commodity prices enabled Wilmar to post a 590 per cent jump in profit to US$343 million (S$473.8 million).

A Goldman Sachs report on the firm noted: 'Overall, no major change to our earnings estimates, but we see upside risks to our forecasts on potentially higher processing margins.'

Golden Agri's profit shot up 102 per cent to US$442.8 million. However, this included a US$307 million net gain in the fair value of the company's biological assets.

The property sector had a mixed outing. Some companies experienced a contraction because of the absence of one-off gains, while others were hurt by weaker market sentiment.

But there was cheer for City Developments (CDL), with profits up 31 per cent to $164.97 million despite a quiet market.

A DBS Vickers report noted: 'CDL will continue to recognise revenue from its sold-out property developments, while enjoying positive rental reversions on its investment portfolio.

'It'll be a prime beneficiary when market sentiment recovers.'

The three local banks emerged almost unscathed from the global credit turmoil, with none disappointing in earnings.

But an economic slowdown in Singapore is likely to dampen loans growth and could result in a higher risk of defaults.

Likewise, analysts warn of a bumpy ride ahead for companies in the transport and technology sectors.

For example, soaring crude oil prices could hurt margins in transport firms while a slowdown in the United States would dampen business for technology players.

Mr Scully said: 'The technology sector looked weak. We're seeing some squeeze on margins and will probably see more profit warnings down the road.'

alfoo@sph.com.sg

 

READERS' POSTINGS
"This is great to keep overseas Singaporeans connected to home news and affairs"

"My favourite was "The Aftermath for Malaysia Election" - (in my opinion), this was a very well crafted world standard image, it is even suitable for a Time magazine cover!"
Read more

 

 
STORY INDEX
 
  'I saw a body pulled out every 15 mins'
   
 
  Driving in that bus lane could get you caught on film
   
 
  Supermarkets cry foul over Case's rice survey
   
 
  Further drop in new home sales and launches in April
   
 
  Slower profit growth ahead, warn analysts
   
 
  Travails of Temasek
   
 
  Universities should be clearer about entry criteria
   
 
  Japan urged to do away with death penalty
   
 
  Stuck in camps
   
 
  Stuck in limbo
   

Elsewhere in AsiaOne...

Wine,Dine&Unwind: Ramen, rice balls and green tea make the grade for Japan's space cuisine

Travel: Sarawak, Malaysia

Health: Will genital warts affect plans to start a family?

Motoring: COE prices continues upward trend in May

Digital: 80 new Oracle solutions for SMBs unveiled

Business: Make it in China now

Just Women: Luxe girl

 

We welcome contributions, comments and tips.
a1admin@sph.com.sg
   

Search: